Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
1 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
5 - 0
TWE
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 2
RJC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
FEY
2 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 3
VIT
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 4
TWE
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |