Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 0
HFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AZA
4 - 1
TWE
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AND
2 - 0
TWE
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |