Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 1
TWE
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
HFC
1 - 2
TWE
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
TWE
0 - 2
AZA
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |