Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
MVV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 0
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
45%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 1
TWE
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
4 - 2
TWE
14%
28%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |