Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
STO
1 - 1
AJA
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
3 - 1
WAG
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 4
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
IPS
2 - 2
TWE
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
AZA
1 - 1
TWE
20%
30%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
TWE
4 - 0
HFC
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
29%
43%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |