Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
27%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
AJA
6 - 1
AMS
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
JUV
80%
12%
9%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
UTR
3 - 2
TWE
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 1
HFC
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
TWE
0 - 0
MVV
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 2
TWE
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |