Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
BYM
2 - 1
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
TEL
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
25%
28%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
BEO
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
FEY
1 - 3
TWE
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
BEO
3 - 2
TWE
36%
25%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |