Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 0
BOS
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
VOL
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 2
TEL
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
29%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
BOS
0 - 0
TWE
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
TWE
4 - 0
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 2
TWE
30%
30%
41%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
FEY
0 - 1
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |