Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
CEL
1 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
7%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 0
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
TWE
3 - 1
SHS
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 2
TWE
22%
32%
47%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 2
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |