Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
TNV
87%
8%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
VOL
2 - 1
TWE
23%
25%
51%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TWE
3 - 2
VVD
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
TWE
3 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
GAE
4 - 0
TWE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |