Europa League Playoffs Last 16
Global 3-2
Ajax vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 0
ESB
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
5 - 0
ACH
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
B93
0 - 3
FCK
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 1
FCK
31%
27%
43%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |