Ajax vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
5 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
0 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
1 - 1
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
4 - 1
LYN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
0 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SIF
0 - 1
FCK
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
3 - 0
AGF
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |