Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
FEY
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
52%
26%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |