Ajax vs Groningen analysis

Ajax Groningen
86 ELO 71
8.4% Tilt 7%
103º General ELO ranking 365º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
75.6%
Ajax
15.7%
Draw
8.7%
Groningen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.7%
Win probability
Groningen
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
-1%
Groningen

ELO progression

Ajax
Groningen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2017
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Rosenborg BK
RBK
53%
23%
24%
86 85 1 0
12 Aug. 2017
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Ajax
AJA
18%
23%
60%
86 71 15 0
02 Aug. 2017
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
Nice
NIC
60%
21%
19%
87 84 3 -1
28 Jul. 2017
AJA
Ajax
3 - 3
Hull City
HUL
75%
16%
8%
87 77 10 0
26 Jul. 2017
NIC
Nice
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
37%
26%
38%
87 84 3 0

Matches

Groningen
Groningen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2017
GRO
Groningen
3 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
36%
25%
39%
71 74 3 0
02 Aug. 2017
GRO
Groningen
0 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
18%
23%
59%
72 88 16 -1
29 Jul. 2017
GRO
Groningen
4 - 3
Emmen
FCE
62%
21%
17%
72 61 11 0
22 Jul. 2017
GRO
Groningen
2 - 2
Granada
GRA
32%
25%
43%
72 79 7 0
15 Jul. 2017
ROD
Rödinghausen
3 - 3
Groningen
GRO
6%
11%
83%
72 44 28 0