Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 1
RBK
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 3
HUL
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
AJA
37%
26%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 3
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 2
RSO
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GRO
4 - 3
FCE
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 2
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROD
3 - 3
GRO
6%
11%
83%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |