Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 2
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 4
GRO
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
ADO
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 2
BVO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |