Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
TWE
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRO
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |