Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 1
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
BVB
35%
25%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
VVV
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |