Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 2
VVV
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 4
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FEY
5 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |