Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GAE
0 - 6
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
RKC
1 - 5
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
RJC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
GRO
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
VVV
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 3
FEY
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |