Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 2
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOR
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
ADO
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 1
FEY
27%
24%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
HOL
2 - 3
GRO
11%
17%
72%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
GRO
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |