Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 6
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
0 - 0
AJA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
3 - 0
VOL
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
3 - 0
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |