Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
AJA
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GRO
4 - 0
ZWO
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
FEY
4 - 1
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
GRO
3 - 0
HFC
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |