Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
GAE
0 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
HEL
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
GRO
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
GRO
6 - 0
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
GRO
3 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |