Ajax vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1992 |
KAI
0 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
GRO
0 - 3
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 0
KAI
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
BVO
5 - 0
FCD
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
FCD
0 - 1
RKC
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
FCD
0 - 2
UTR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
RJC
1 - 3
FCD
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
FCD
0 - 4
VOL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |