Copa de Ferias Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Ajax vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
CZJ
3 - 1
AJA
53%
22%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1970 |
GAE
1 - 3
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
90%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
CZJ
3 - 1
AJA
53%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
UJP
0 - 3
CZJ
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
CZJ
1 - 0
UJP
67%
18%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 1
CZJ
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
CZJ
2 - 0
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |