Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |