Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
2.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
MFF
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 0
HFC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
VVV
3 - 0
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |