Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.9%
Win probability
5.06
Expected goals
10-0
1.2%
+10
1.2%
9-0
2.4%
10-1
0.6%
+9
3%
8-0
4.3%
9-1
1.1%
10-2
0.1%
+8
5.5%
7-0
6.7%
8-1
2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
9%
6-0
9.3%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
12.9%
5-0
11.1%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
16.2%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
2%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
0.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
2%
0.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
33%
28%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
1 - 3
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
9 - 0
BOS
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRO
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
7 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |