Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.3%
Win probability
4.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.6%
7-0
4.7%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
7.2%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.6%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
3.6%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.6%
1.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
CEL
1 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
7%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 0
HFC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 0
SHS
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
NAC
1 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |