Ajax vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 1
PSV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BET
1 - 1
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
6 - 2
ZUL
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
RAY
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |