Ajax vs SC Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 5
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCB
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VOL
2 - 3
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ENS
3 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
FEY
3 - 1
ENS
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
ENS
4 - 2
GRO
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1963 |
DWS
0 - 1
ENS
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ENS
2 - 2
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |