Ajax vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
DYN
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VVV
0 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
SDL
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 2
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 4
AZA
8%
17%
75%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 2
FCE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GAE
2 - 2
FCE
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
TWE
1 - 5
FCE
51%
23%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |