UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 3-2
Ajax vs Dynamo Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
69%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
PAO
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
0 - 0
DNI
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VOR
3 - 1
DYN
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 0
MED
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
DYN
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |