UCL Last 16
Global 6-1
Ajax vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
3.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
EXC
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
33%
28%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
1 - 3
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
9 - 0
BOS
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
3 - 1
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
3 - 0
FKM
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
CVA
1 - 3
CSK
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
3 - 1
BOT
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
1 - 3
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |