Ajax vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
ASW
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CEL
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 1
CEL
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
MHE
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |