Ajax vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 0
HIB
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEL
14%
18%
68%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
MHE
0 - 7
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
STM
1 - 2
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |