Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 5-3
Ajax vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
RBC
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 1
FCN
75%
18%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ACH
0 - 0
BIF
19%
24%
56%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
3 - 1
AAB
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
3 - 1
DTB
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |