Ajax vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
9%
17%
75%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCN
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
8%
14%
79%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
5 - 1
SLB
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 3
F95
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BVB
3 - 2
BYM
23%
21%
56%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |