Ajax vs BVV Barendrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BJK
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
BVV Barendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
DVS
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
5 - 0
ODI
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 3
BAR
53%
22%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIS
0 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
GOE
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |