Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BJK
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RKC
0 - 5
AJA
6%
15%
79%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
RAN
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 1
SPA
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AZA
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
JAB
1 - 1
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |