Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
5%
13%
83%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
TWE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |