Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Ajax AZ Alkmaar
89 ELO 84
14.4% Tilt 31%
102º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.7%
Ajax
16.9%
Draw
12.4%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.4%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+7%
AZ Alkmaar

ELO progression

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2020
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Getafe
GET
59%
22%
19%
89 88 1 0
23 Feb. 2020
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
11%
16%
73%
89 73 16 0
20 Feb. 2020
GET
Getafe
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
29%
24%
47%
89 88 1 0
16 Feb. 2020
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
88%
9%
3%
89 60 29 0
12 Feb. 2020
VIT
Vitesse
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
15%
19%
66%
90 82 8 -1

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2020
LAS
LASK
2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
50%
23%
28%
84 85 1 0
23 Feb. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
72%
18%
10%
83 67 16 +1
20 Feb. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
LASK
LAS
36%
25%
40%
83 86 3 0
15 Feb. 2020
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
16%
22%
63%
84 69 15 -1
12 Feb. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 3
NAC Breda
NAC
73%
18%
9%
85 66 19 -1