Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
LAS
2 - 0
AZA
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 0
ZWO
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 1
LAS
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |