Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
4 - 0
ADO
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FEY
5 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 0
BVO
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |