Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 6
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
HHC
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |