Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
F95
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
MLL
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |