Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
RMA
3 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
1 - 3
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 3
AZA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
AZA
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
4 - 2
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RKC
1 - 2
AZA
31%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |