Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
5 - 1
RKC
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
AND
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
32%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AZA
0 - 4
PSV
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AZA
6 - 1
VVV
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |