Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 14
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 3
AND
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 0
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 1
AZA
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
VIT
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |