Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 4
FEY
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 3
AZA
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 3
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 0
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |