Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 3
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1996 |
JUV
1 - 1
AJA
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
GRA
0 - 0
AJA
10%
19%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
24%
28%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
AZA
3 - 1
ADO
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |